CPI, PPI this week, you ready?

March 10, 2025 - March 14, 2025

⚡️S&P 500 Futures

We're stuck in this zone under 5780.25 right now.

We closed Friday at 5771, and honestly, all the inventory since September is chillin’ above 5780.

So, it's gonna take time to clean out all this inventory.

Looking longer-term, if we can get our asses back over 5780, we've got that 200-day moving average at 5850 which is probably gonna be resistance because there's inventory there, and people will be waiting to dump their positions.

If you’re looking at the market profile, you can see we had a 5945-6115 balance.

All that inventory is parked above 5825 going back to November.

We broke below 5945 into this ugly discount zone where the market's basically on sale.

My target would be around 5620, but I'm not trying to be a fortune teller calling bottoms.

For this week, watch these levels:

  • 5724 (support to watch early week)

  • 5785 (where sellers initiated)

  • 5825 (top of zone)

  • 5704 (middle of zone — we did a look below and fail here)

  • 5584 (bottom of larger zone)

For Sunday night trading, since we closed at 5771, if we drop below 5770 and 5769, look for 5760 and then 5745 — that's where people got trapped in the last half hour Friday.

But if there aren't enough sellers or there's decent buying, watch for resistance at 5775.25, 5777.50, and Friday's high.

And as a reminder, I trade with simple shit (because I don’t like overcomplicating things).

Just a one-minute candle chart and a few straight lines. No fancy indicators or special software needed. This is real-world execution, not some mystical trading bullshit.

Stay safe out there and manage your ass risk!

If you’d like a similar analysis for any of the 10 tickers below, let me know by emailing [email protected].

🛒 Let’s see who’s on sale

Tickers

Status

SPY ( ▲ 0.53% )  

Not on sale

QQQ ( ▲ 1.13% )  

Not on sale

AAPL ( ▼ 1.75% )  

Not on sale

MSFT ( ▲ 0.74% )  

On sale

AMZN ( ▲ 1.17% )  

On sale

GOOGL ( ▲ 1.87% )  

Not on sale

META ( ▲ 2.29% )  

On sale

TSLA ( ▲ 7.59% )  

On sale

NVDA ( ▲ 6.43% )  

Not on sale

NFLX ( ▲ 2.75% )  

On sale

📸 Economic events this week

Tue, 03/11

11 AM (EDT): JOLTS Job Openings (Jan)
Tracks job vacancies; fewer openings could mean layoffs ahead, more could mean pay raises.

Wed, 03/12

08:30 AM (EDT): CPI (MoM) (Feb)
Measures inflation; if it's high, your groceries and rent get more expensive.

08:30 AM (EDT): Core CPI (MoM) (Feb)
Like CPI but without food & energy; helps predict long-term price trends.

08:30 AM (EDT): CPI (YoY) (Feb)
Compares inflation to last year; if it's up, your money buys less than it did before.

09:30 AM (EDT): Crude Oil Inventories
Shows oil supply; low supply = gas prices go up, high supply = cheaper road trips.

01:00 PM (EDT): 10-Year Note Auction
Affects mortgage rates; if yields rise, home loans get pricier.

Thu, 03/13

08:30 AM (EDT): PPI (MoM) (Feb)
Measures business costs; if they're rising, expect companies to charge you more.

08:30 AM (EDT): Initial Jobless Claims
Counts new unemployment claims; rising claims = job market might be in trouble.

01:00 PM (EDT): 30-Year Bond Auction
Impacts long-term loans; higher yields = pricier car and home loans.

📠 Fun fact

Here’s some knowledge on what goes down when the market gets liquidated and prices start moving afterward.

So, when a market tanks, it hits a low and shakes out the stops.

Shorts (people bettin’ on price to go down) swoop in quick, gobbling up those sell orders because that’s where the action’s at.

Think of it like hittin’ up Costco when they have those hot deals.

After the chaos, price chills out, stabilizing just above that quick dip that didn’t stick around long.

The flush down and bounce back?

Could be seconds or hours, same energy, different scale.

Then the big players (wholesale market makers) step in.

They clock the selling slowing down, so they scoop up buys on the cheap.

When the market bounces and hits those upper stops, they cash out into the hype — doesn’t matter who’s buying, just that they are.

Shorts cover, wholesalers stack positions, supply tightens, and boom, prices climb.

Profit’s the name of the game.

But once the buying dries up — like your local Infiniti dealership with too many cars on the lot and no shoppers — it’s time to slash prices. Sell it down, find the next wave of buyers, and keep the cycle rolling.

Algos might be running it now, but it’s the same old hustle: buy low, sell high.

You can spot this on any chart — candles, footprint, whatever you vibe with.

Got questions? Hit me up.

Why "ESNQ"?
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You can trade these market superstars in three main ways: Futures trading (like Coachella), Options trading (like Lollapalooza), Regular stock trading (like Bonnaroo).

Just like how Taylor and Beyoncé draw the biggest crowds wherever they perform, ES and NQ are the most-watched, and most-traded market indicators no matter which way you choose to trade them.

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Remember:
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