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- The job market stumbled, inflation’s a bee, and Wall Street’s on sale
The job market stumbled, inflation’s a bee, and Wall Street’s on sale
February 3, 2025 - February 7, 2025
Hey, it’s Ary from ESNQ News, where you’ll understand what’s happening with the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and economic data in plain English.
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Alright, let’s get into it:
Table of Contents
⏳️ TL;DR
This week, the U.S. job market pulled a hamstring, consumer confidence got slapped like Chris Rock at the Oscars, and Uncle Sam’s about to change how we count jobs. Meaning, sh-t’s about to look real different. Also, stocks took a hit, so if you’re into discounts, Wall Street’s got a clearance sale.
Hiring slows down like a Netflix show that should’ve ended seasons ago
What happened: The U.S. added 143,000 jobs in January, missing expectations of 170,000. Meanwhile, unemployment dipped to 4% from 4.1%. (Receipts)
Why it matters: You ever seen a franchise that refuses to quit? (Looking at you, ‘Fast & Furious’). The economy thrives when people have jobs, spend money, and keep things moving. But when hiring slows? That’s like Vin Diesel saying, “We’re family,” but half the crew just got written out of the script. It means less spending, slower growth, and potentially some corporate layoffs lurking around the corner.
Consumer sentiment takes a hit, just like your bank account after a Vegas trip
What happened: Consumer sentiment tanked from 71.1 in January to 67.8 in February (its lowest since July) because, surprise surprise, people are freaking out about inflation. (Receipts)
Why it matters: Inflation is like your ex who says they’ve changed, but then still maxes out your credit card. People don’t trust the economy when prices keep creeping up like a shady landlord raising your rent. Less confidence = less spending = potential slowdown. It’s a vicious cycle, and right now, that cycle is looking wobbly as hell.
The Government’s about to ‘patch’ the job market, and the update might suck
What’s happening: The Bureau of Labor Statistics is rolling out a massive update that could add 2.3 million workers on paper. This could spike unemployment rates and change labor force participation numbers overnight. (Receipts)
Why it matters: So imagine waking up, checking your bank app, and boom — you’ve got $5,000 less because of a “system update.” That’s what’s happening to our job market. The new math means old numbers might not mean sh-t anymore, making it harder to tell if things are actually good or if we’ve just been looking at them wrong this whole time.
🔑 Key takeaways
Hiring is slowing down, meaning the economy’s flex is looking less swole.
Consumer confidence is dropping, because inflation still won’t take the hint — like my buddy Jake with the girls he messages on Tinder. Sorry Jake.
Employment data is getting a major revision, and that could mess with everything from interest rate decisions to your boss’s hiring plans. Which circles back to the slowdown in hiring. LOL, “circle back”.
📷️ Market snapshot
Big tech and ETFs took an L this week. Here’s who’s hurting and who’s dodging uppercuts:
Ticker | Company | Closing Price (Jan 31) | Closing Price (Feb 7) | % Change | Status |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
SPY | SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust | $606.33 | $600.77 | -0.92% | On Sale |
QQQ | Invesco QQQ Trust | $529.59 | $522.92 | -1.26% | On Sale |
AAPL | Apple Inc. | $233.19 | $227.63 | -2.38% | On Sale |
MSFT | Microsoft Corporation | $415.80 | $409.75 | -1.46% | On Sale |
AMZN | Amazon.com Inc. | $238.75 | $229.15 | -4.02% | On Sale |
GOOGL | Alphabet Inc. | $191.60 | $185.34 | -3.27% | On Sale |
META | Meta Platforms Inc. | $711.97 | $714.52 | +0.36% | Not On Sale |
TSLA | Tesla Inc. | $374.58 | $361.62 | -3.46% | On Sale |
NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | $128.56 | $129.84 | +1.00% | Not On Sale |
NFLX | Netflix Inc. | $1,015.50 | $1,013.93 | -0.16% | On Sale |
What can I do with this info?
Well, if something’s on sale, it usually means it’s cheaper than it was. And, not to give financial advice, but if I saw that $1,000 grill at Costco for $500, you bet your sweet ass I’m buying it!
So if you’ve been waiting to buy Apple, Amazon, or Tesla on a dip, congrats — you got your discount. But don’t expect NVDA to go on clearance anytime soon.
📑 Glossary
Consumer Sentiment: A fancy way of saying, “Do people feel like buying sh-t, or nah?”
Inflation: When your money buys less today than it did yesterday. Like Uber rides after 2 AM.
Labor Force Participation Rate: The percentage of adults actually working, or at least trying to work. Kind o’ like gym memberships — just because you have one doesn’t mean you’re using it.
📆 Coming this Sunday
The S&P 500, Nasdaq, and their top 10 common holdings (Apple, Microsoft, Tesla, etc.) — key price levels to watch. Whether you’re a swing trader (buying and selling within days or weeks) or a long-term investor (holding for years), we’ll cover the price levels to watch for potential buying opportunities.
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